Yes. That you can scream all you wish to have, but yes, the notebook is dying.

First it was the death of the netbook , and now analysts are piling on Best Buy’s CEO remarks about iPad cannibalizing laptop sales by 50% .

Morgan Stanley notes that notebook’s year-over-year growth has been negative for the first time ever this August. They’ve gone as far as saying that: ” Tablet cannibalization” -chiefly by Apple’s (AAPL) iPad-is a minimum of partially responsible.”

That growth is negative doesn’t mean that notebooks don’t seem to be selling anymore. We don’t even know if the pattern will keep taking place for 2011, although likelihood is that it’ll. But there is a pattern now, person who is totally new. Quickly, the laptop market isn’t growing anymore.

In fact, growth has been steadily decreasing since March-even while new, faster, cheaper laptops were introduced since then. The incoming September numbers show another 4% decrease. That’s one of many the reason why manufacturers like Dell, Samsung, and HP are racing to get their own tablets available in the market before Apple becomes unstoppable in this new computing world. In case you think that HP wasn’t pondering this trend after they bought Palm, you might be seriously mistaken.

It’s just evolution

So, are tablets the tip of the laptop? Perhaps that is too early to tell now-inspite of the loud and clear numbers-but yes, yes they’re. Eventually, it’s going to happen. New computing formats had been replacing old computing formats since the beginning of the tips era. Only a few years ago, some people couldn’t believe the desktop market was going to become stagnant. Nevertheless it did, and today many folks only use laptops.

The same will happen with tablets.

Laptops won’t disappear. Not now, not instantly. Like the desktop, they are going to survive for years on different industries and enterprises. Eventually, however, I’m sure they’ll vanish completely with the exception of a really few specialized niches, a twin of they’ve disappeared for lots workforces who have moved from traditional computer platforms to smart phones. Gene Roddenberry was right.

So what’s going to happen with the keyboard, you ask? I will be able to’t type on a tablet! Well, I write for a living, so I remember the fact that concern. I know I’m going to keep using keyboards until new input methods replace them.

But now consider the immensity of folks who, unlike you and me, don’t touch a keyboard at all or touch it just barely, to send ” hey, see you at 5! LOL! xxxooo” mails or write Facebook messages or chat with contracted words and emoticons. Think of nearly all of those who, outside their work offices, never touch and don’t would like to touch a keyboard. Reflect onconsideration on the volume of the large amount of blue collar workers who don’t use computers in their work, just depend upon their phones to communicate. Ponder the increasing number of office workers who have moved from desktops and laptops to their smart phones. And also to all those, you have got that gigantic majority of customers who don’t give damn about computers.

It’s inevitable

For those people, tablets are indeed the long run . Because that’s really all their need in their digital lives: the way to easily get their entertainment, communicate with others, and access their memories. And as tablets evolve, connecting to cameras, camcorders, smart phones, printers and AV systems , becoming hubs in place of just the tip of a chain, that future will come even ahead of expected. [ Fortune ]

Source

This post is tagged: desktop market, evolution, laptop market, laptop sales, likelihood, morgan stanley, new computing